Emerging Markets – Most Asian currencies, stocks tick higher ahead of US jobs report

Emerging Markets – Most Asian currencies, stocks tick higher ahead of US jobs report

BANGKOK (Reuters): Most Asian currencies and stocks rose on Friday, with the South Korean won and equities leading the way, after risk sentiment got a boost overnight from upbeat earnings reports on Wall Street, although investors were focused on a monthly US jobs report due later in the day.

The MSCI International Emerging Market Index rose about 0.2% to its highest since mid-January, while the dollar index was steady at 103.01 at 0355 GMT.

The markets see Friday’s US. non-farm payrolls data as potentially spurring the Federal Reserve to accelerate its rate cut timeline if the numbers come in below forecasts.

Market participants expect the Fed’s first rate cut in May, while the odds of a March cut have fallen to 38% from more than 70% a month ago.

Shares in Seoul were on track to mark their best day since mid-November and the won rose as much as 0.5% against the dollar after data showed South Korea’s inflation slowed to a six-month low, even as policymakers warned that geopolitical tensions could add to price pressures.

“Faster disinflation would increase the Bank of Korea’s confidence in achieving price stability in coming months, in our view. Thus, we reiterate our view that the BOK will start rate cuts in July,” Nomura analysts said in a note.

Inflation prints from China, Thailand, the Philippines and Taiwan over the next week will also set the tone for their respective monetary policies, with price pressures already seen to be slowing in Indonesia.

“While the market is likely to push the base case for the first Fed cut from March to May in the aftermath of the January FOMC, this is unlikely to derail any of the emerging markets easing cycles,” analysts from Citi said in a client note.

Central bank decisions in Thailand and India are expected to keep rates steady in the coming days.

The Philippine peso and the Taiwan dollar advanced about 0.3% to 0.4%, although Thailand’s baht slipped about 0.1%.

In Indonesia, which holds presidential and legislative elections on Feb. 14, President Joko Widodo said his cabinet was working normally, amid reports of discontent among his ministers.

The rupiah rose 0.5% while Jakarta stocks ticked lower. Among Asian equities, Singapore, Manila, Taipei and Bangkok rose, with gains ranging from 0.3% to 1.6%. – Reuters

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